Since 1980, human-made aerosol emissions have decreased in Europe and the U.S. but increased in China and India. This study used SPEAR, a climate model developed at GFDL, to explore how regional aerosol changes affect global tropical cyclones.

GFDL scientists focus on model-building relevant for society, for hurricane research, weather and ocean prediction, seasonal forecasting, understanding regional and global climate change, and more. GFDL has pioneered much of the world’s research …

2024年11月20日 · The GFDL hurricane model used for the study is an enhanced resolution version of the model used to predict hurricanes operationally at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction.

GFDL models have been successful in representing the observed evolution of 20th century climate from continental-to-global scales, including the dynamics of El Niño and drying in the African Sahel, and providing good seasonal predictive skill. Data from many of GFDL’s climate experiments is made available on the lab’s Data Portal. The ...

GFDL is engaged in comprehensive long lead-time research fundamental to NOAA’s mission. The goal of this research is to expand the scientific understanding of past, present and future interactions among physical, chemical, geological, and …

2020年11月12日 · The Earth system model documented in this study, ESM4.1, marks the culmination of GFDL’s 4th generation model development effort that included comprehensive revisions of atmospheric dynamics, physics and chemistry, ocean physics, biogeochemistry and ecosystems, sea ice, and land physics, biogeochemistry and ecosystems.

With the help of numerical models, observations and theories, GFDL scientists conduct cutting-edge research to advance the fundamental understanding of atmospheric processes in governing climate variability and change, with the goal of developing more accurate representations of them in climate models.

The GFDL Forecast-oriented Low Ocean Resolution version of CM2.5 (FLOR) model is a descendent of the CM2.5 model and CM2.1 model. The FLOR model incorporates the higher horizontal resolution in the atmosphere and land, higher vertical resolution in the atmosphere, and significantly improved land model (LM3) from CM2.5.

The GFDL Finite­-Volume Cubed-Sphere Dynamical Core (FV3) is a scalable and flexible dynamical core capable of both hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic atmospheric simulations. The design of FV3 was guided by these tenets: The discretization should be guided by physical principles as much as possible.

SPEAR was developed as a next generation GFDL modeling system for seasonal to multidecadal prediction and projection. In February 2021, SPEAR real-time seasonal predictions were made available as part of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble ( NMME ) and SPEAR decadal predictions will be made available as part of an international decadal ...