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  1. 其他用户还问了以下问题
    How are polling averages updated in 2024?
    Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

    National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight

    projects.fivethirtyeight.com
    Why are poll results shown as circles for each candidate?
    Note: Individual poll results are shown as circles for each candidate. Polls with greater weight in the average have larger circles. Source: Averages by The New York Times; polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Times. It’s Election Day, and the polls show one of the closest presidential races in the history of American politics.

    Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

    nytimes.com
    Did Democrats outperform polling averages in 2012 & 2022?
    But in 2012 they underestimated the Democratic candidate, Barack Obama, and in 2022 Democrats outperformed polling averages in several key midterm races. Past polling misses can give a sense of the magnitude by which current averages could be wrong, but they are not a guarantee of which way today’s polls may be off.

    Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

    nytimes.com
    Can polling averages change if no new polls are added?
    Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024.

    National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight

    projects.fivethirtyeight.com
    What if the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap?
    When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.

    National Polls - FiveThirtyEight

    projects.fivethirtyeight.com
    How are polling averages adjusted?
    Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG. AVG.

    President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

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