Is an asteroid going to hit Earth in 2032? Probably not, but here's what experts say
Chances an asteroid may hit Earth in 2032 have again risen, though the risk remains tiny, astronomers say. Here's what to know about 2024 YR4.
Could an asteroid hit Earth in 2032? Here's what to know about the potential "city killer."
"An asteroid this size impacts Earth on average every few thousand years and could cause severe damage to a local region," the European Space Agency said.
Asteroid 2024 YR 4 no longer has chance of hitting Earth in 2032, says NASA
“NASA analysis drops asteroid 2024 YR4's impact probability to 0.004%, meaning it is expected to safely pass by Earth in 2032,” NASA’s Planetary Defense Coordination Office posted on X Monday. The European Space Agency shared a similar risk assessment of its own Tuesday, finding that the probability was .001%.
The chances of an asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 have changed. But what’s the risk, really?
On Tuesday, astronomers reported that 2024 YR4’s probability of colliding with Earth increased to approximately 3%, which is unusual for a small asteroid that is only 130 to 300 feet wide. By Wednesday, that impact assessment dropped to 1.5%.
Expert shares key facts about asteroid that could hit Earth in 2032
The head of planetary defense at the European Space Agency discusses 2024 YR4, an asteroid with a small chance of striking Earth eight years from now.
Odds of asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 suddenly change—again
Discovered after passing by Earth in December, the asteroid will remain visible through April. After that time, it will be too faint to observe until June 2028. As astronomers continue to gather data during that time, NASA said the probability of impact will continue to fluctuate, noting it's also possible for chances to increase again.
Why NASA keeps changing the probability of an asteroid impacting Earth in 2032
Sensational "city killer" headlines aside, NASA and the European Space Agency reported the asteroid "has a very small chance" of Earth impact.
This Asteroid Had a 3 Percent Chance of Hitting Earth and Now It’s Zero
For a brief moment, it looked like asteroid 2024 YR4 had a real shot at hitting Earth in 2032. With its impact probability climbing to a record-breaking 3%, astronomers scrambled to refine its trajectory using some of the most powerful telescopes on the planet.
What are the chances an asteroid will impact Earth in 2032?
February, headlines around the world buzzed about the potential for an asteroid to hit the Earth in 2023—specifically, asteroid 2024 YR4. The chance of this impact rose to a high of 3.1 percent on Feb.
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